PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Oct 13, 7:45 PM ET
Kevin Lankinen · 0.875 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Islanders 65.6% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 15.6 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NYI for 94 points and VAN for 80.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives New York Islanders a 65.6% chance to win on Tue, Oct 13. The matchup detail follows.
NYI controlled play at 5v5 last season, 50.5% of the expected goals to 38.4%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Ilya Sorokin (NYI) saved -6.3 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Islanders over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
NYI
Ilya Sorokin
55 games, 2025-26
| VAN | Metric | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| 38.4% | xGF% (5v5) | 50.5% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elias Pettersson | C | 23 | 42 | 65 |
 Brock Boeser | R | 25 | 29 | 53 |
 Marco Rossi | C | 18 | 28 | 46 |
 Filip Hronek | D | 7 | 36 | 43 |
New York Islanders
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Schaefer | D | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
| New York Islanders | 94 | 42.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NYI 2, VAN 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | NYI @ VAN | NYI 4, VAN 3 | NYI hit |
| 2025-12-19 | VAN @ NYI | VAN 4, NYI 1 | NYI missed |
| 2025-03-26 | VAN @ NYI | VAN 5, NYI 2 | NYI missed |
| 2024-11-14 | NYI @ VAN | NYI 5, VAN 2 | VAN missed |
| 2024-01-09 | VAN @ NYI | VAN 5, NYI 2 | VAN hit |
| 2023-11-15 | NYI @ VAN | NYI 3, VAN 4 | VAN hit |
 Bo Horvat | C | 22 | 24 | 46 |
|---|
 Simon Holmstrom | R | 17 | 20 | 36 |
|---|
 Brayden Schenn | C | 12 | 18 | 31 |
|---|
ANA@
NYI
