PuckCast Edge
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Final · Tue, Oct 13, 7:45 PM ET
Ilya Sorokin · 0.906 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Islanders 65.6% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 15.6 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NYI for 94 points and VAN for 80.
The model leaned New York Islanders at 65.6%.
PuckCast had New York Islanders at 65.6% to win this game on Tue, Oct 13. The matchup detail follows.
NYI controlled play at 5v5 last season, 47.7% of the expected goals to 43.2%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Ilya Sorokin (NYI) saved -6.3 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Islanders over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
NYI
Ilya Sorokin
55 games, 2025-26
| VAN | Metric | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| 43.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.7% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 | |
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 | |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 | |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |
New York Islanders
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | NYI @ VAN | NYI | NYI 4–3 VAN | Correct |
| 2025-12-19 | VAN @ NYI | NYI | VAN 4–1 NYI | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
| New York Islanders | 94 | 42.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 22 | 24 | 46 |
| L | 12 | 24 | 36 |
| R | 17 | 20 | 36 |