PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Fri, Oct 16, 10:00 PM ET
Lukas Dostal · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make Anaheim Ducks 50.9% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 0.9 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project ANA for 94 points and BOS for 99.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
ANA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.0% of the expected goals to 47.6%; ANA's power play ran at 20.2% against a BOS kill at 78.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Lukas Dostal's -32.8, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Anaheim Ducks over Boston Bruins is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
ANA
Lukas Dostal
56 games, 2025-26
| BOS | Metric | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| 47.6% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.0% |
| 47.4% | Shot share | 52.4% |
| 3.2 | Goals for / game | 3.2 |
| 3.0 | Goals against / game | 3.5 |
| 22.7% | Power play | 20.2% |
| 78.5% | Penalty kill | 75.6% |
| 53.3% | Faceoffs | 47.8% |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35 | 57 | 92 | |
| R | 25 | 28 | 53 | |
| C | 27 | 23 | 50 | |
| D | 10 | 38 | 48 |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | BOS @ ANA | ANA | BOS 3–4 ANA | Correct |
| 2025-10-23 | ANA @ BOS | ANA | ANA 7–5 BOS | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 94 | 53.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 25 | 34 | 60 |
| R | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| R | 19 | 33 | 51 |