PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Oct 17, 9:00 PM ET
Jeremy Swayman · 0.908 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 51.7% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 1.8 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and LAK for 90.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Boston Bruins a 51.7% chance to win on Sat, Oct 17. The matchup detail follows.
BOS controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.8% of the expected goals to 48.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Darcy Kuemper's -22.9, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.891.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over Los Angeles Kings is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
LAK
Darcy Kuemper
50 games, 2025-26
| BOS | Metric | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| 51.8% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.3% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Pastrnak | R | 35 | 57 | 92 |
 John-Jason Peterka | R | 25 | 28 | 53 |
 Morgan Geekie | C | 27 | 23 | 50 |
 Charlie McAvoy | D | 10 | 38 | 48 |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Artemi Panarin | L | 25 | 47 | 72 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 90 | 44.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: LAK 2, BOS 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | LAK @ BOS | LAK 1, BOS 2 | BOS hit |
| 2025-11-21 | BOS @ LAK | BOS 2, LAK 1 | LAK missed |
| 2025-03-23 | BOS @ LAK | BOS 2, LAK 7 | LAK hit |
| 2024-10-12 | LAK @ BOS | LAK 1, BOS 2 | BOS hit |
| 2024-02-17 | LAK @ BOS | LAK 5, BOS 4 | BOS missed |
| 2023-10-21 | BOS @ LAK | BOS 4, LAK 2 | BOS hit |
 Adrian Kempe | R | 27 | 31 | 58 |
|---|
 Quinton Byfield | R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
|---|
 Kevin Fiala | L | 22 | 28 | 50 |
|---|
LAK@
NJD
