PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Tue, Oct 20, 7:00 PM ET
Sergei Bobrovsky · 0.877 SV%
The preseason ratings make Columbus Blue Jackets 62.5% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 12.4 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project CBJ for 96 points and TOR for 85.
The model leaned Columbus Blue Jackets at 62.5%.
PuckCast had Columbus Blue Jackets at 62.5% to win this game on Tue, Oct 20. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (46.6% to 47.3%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jet Greaves (CBJ) saved -3.5 goals above expected to Sergei Bobrovsky's -41.5, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.877.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Columbus Blue Jackets over Toronto Maple Leafs is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky
52 games, 2025-26
CBJ
Jet Greaves
55 games, 2025-26
| TOR | Metric | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| 47.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 46.6% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auston Matthews | C | 40 | 39 | 79 |
 William Nylander | R | 31 | 43 | 74 |
 Darren Raddysh | D | 13 | 34 | 47 |
 Morgan Rielly | D | 7 | 29 | 36 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zach Werenski | D | 18 | 49 | 67 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 85 | 22.9% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 96 | 47.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: CBJ 6, TOR 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | TOR @ CBJ | TOR 2, CBJ 1 | CBJ missed |
| 2025-11-20 | CBJ @ TOR | CBJ 3, TOR 2 | TOR missed |
| 2025-10-29 | TOR @ CBJ | TOR 3, CBJ 6 | CBJ hit |
| 2025-04-05 | CBJ @ TOR | CBJ 0, TOR 5 | TOR hit |
| 2025-01-22 | CBJ @ TOR | CBJ 5, TOR 1 | TOR missed |
| 2024-10-22 | TOR @ CBJ | TOR 2, CBJ 6 | TOR missed |
| 2023-12-29 | TOR @ CBJ | TOR 5, CBJ 6 | TOR missed |
| 2023-12-23 | TOR @ CBJ | TOR 4, CBJ 1 | TOR hit |
 Matthew Knies | L | 24 | 37 | 61 |
|---|
 Adam Fantilli | C | 26 | 31 | 56 |
|---|
 Sean Monahan | C | 18 | 28 | 45 |
|---|
CBJ@
CAR
