PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Thu, Oct 22, 8:00 PM ET
Adin Hill · 0.871 SV%
The preseason ratings make St. Louis Blues 53.9% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 3.9 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project STL for 94 points and VGK for 96.
The model leaned St. Louis Blues at 53.9%.
PuckCast had St. Louis Blues at 53.9% to win this game on Thu, Oct 22. The matchup detail follows.
VGK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 55.3% of the expected goals to 49.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Adin Hill (VGK) saved -23.2 goals above expected to Jordan Binnington's -37.1, on save percentages of 0.871 and 0.873.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. St. Louis Blues over Vegas Golden Knights is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
VGK
Adin Hill
27 games, 2025-26
STL
Jordan Binnington
41 games, 2025-26
| VGK | Metric | STL |
|---|---|---|
| 55.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 49.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch Marner | R | 25 | 63 | 87 |
 Jack Eichel | C | 27 | 55 | 82 |
 Mark Stone | R | 17 | 34 | 51 |
 Shea Theodore | D | 8 | 34 | 42 |
St. Louis Blues
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Robert Thomas | C | 22 | 50 | 72 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | 96 | 58.1% |
| St. Louis Blues | 94 | 50.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: STL 3, VGK 6
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | STL @ VGK | STL 2, VGK 4 | VGK hit |
| 2026-01-02 | VGK @ STL | VGK 3, STL 4 | VGK missed |
| 2025-11-15 | VGK @ STL | VGK 4, STL 1 | VGK hit |
| 2025-01-23 | VGK @ STL | VGK 4, STL 2 | VGK hit |
| 2025-01-20 | STL @ VGK | STL 6, VGK 5 | VGK missed |
| 2024-10-11 | STL @ VGK | STL 3, VGK 4 | VGK hit |
| 2024-03-25 | VGK @ STL | VGK 2, STL 1 | VGK hit |
| 2023-12-06 | VGK @ STL | VGK 6, STL 3 | VGK hit |
 Jimmy Snuggerud | R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
|---|
 Pavel Buchnevich | L | 19 | 30 | 49 |
|---|
 Mason McTavish | C | 20 | 29 | 49 |
|---|
BOS@
STL
