PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET
Jordan Binnington · 0.873 SV%
The preseason ratings make Carolina Hurricanes 53.5% to win on the road — barely a lean at all, worth 3.5 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project CAR for 105 points and STL for 94.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
CAR controlled play at 5v5 last season, 56.5% of the expected goals to 50.3%; CAR's power play ran at 23.4% against a STL kill at 76.7%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Brandon Bussi (CAR) saved -14.9 goals above expected to Jordan Binnington's -37.1, on save percentages of 0.895 and 0.873.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Carolina Hurricanes over St. Louis Blues is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CAR
Brandon Bussi
39 games, 2025-26
STL
Jordan Binnington
41 games, 2025-26
| CAR | Metric | STL |
|---|---|---|
| 56.5% | xGF% (5v5) | 50.3% |
| 57.3% | Shot share | 47.8% |
| 3.5 | Goals for / game | 2.8 |
| 2.7 | Goals against / game | 3.1 |
| 23.4% | Power play | 17.6% |
| 82.7% | Penalty kill | 76.7% |
| 49.8% | Faceoffs | 49.4% |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 29 | 47 | 76 | |
| R | 33 | 38 | 71 | |
| R | 26 | 37 | 63 | |
| L | 22 | 36 | 58 |
St. Louis Blues
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 22 | 50 | 72 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | STL @ CAR | CAR | STL 3–1 CAR | Missed |
| 2026-01-13 | CAR @ STL | CAR | CAR 0–3 STL | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | 105 | 69.3% |
| St. Louis Blues | 94 | 50.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
| L | 19 | 30 | 49 |
| C | 20 | 29 | 49 |