PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET
Connor Hellebuyck · 0.895 SV%
The preseason ratings make Dallas Stars 61.3% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 11.3 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project DAL for 103 points and NJD for 94.
The model leaned Dallas Stars at 61.3%.
PuckCast had Dallas Stars at 61.3% to win this game on Tue, Oct 27. The matchup detail follows.
NJD controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.7% of the expected goals to 52.0%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jake Oettinger (DAL) saved -14.5 goals above expected to Connor Hellebuyck's -22.8, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.895.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Dallas Stars over New Jersey Devils is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NJD
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
DAL
Jake Oettinger
54 games, 2025-26
| NJD | Metric | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 57.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 52.0% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jack Hughes | C | 31 | 53 | 84 |
 Jesper Bratt | L | 22 | 51 | 72 |
 Nico Hischier | C | 29 | 40 | 68 |
 Luke Hughes | D | 8 | 38 | 47 |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Robertson | L | 37 | 49 | 86 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
| Dallas Stars | 103 | 70.4% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: DAL 4, NJD 2
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | NJD @ DAL | NJD 6, DAL 4 | DAL missed |
| 2025-12-03 | DAL @ NJD | DAL 3, NJD 0 | NJD missed |
| 2025-03-04 | NJD @ DAL | NJD 3, DAL 4 | DAL hit |
| 2025-02-22 | DAL @ NJD | DAL 4, NJD 2 | DAL hit |
| 2024-03-14 | NJD @ DAL | NJD 6, DAL 2 | DAL missed |
| 2024-01-20 | DAL @ NJD | DAL 6, NJD 2 | DAL hit |
 Mikko Rantanen | R | 30 | 55 | 85 |
|---|
 Wyatt Johnston | C | 42 | 42 | 84 |
|---|
 Roope Hintz | C | 22 | 32 | 54 |
|---|
DAL@
WSH
