PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET
Dustin Wolf · 0.899 SV%
The preseason ratings make Edmonton Oilers 60.5% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 10.5 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project EDM for 97 points and CGY for 89.
The model leaned Edmonton Oilers at 60.5%.
PuckCast had Edmonton Oilers at 60.5% to win this game on Wed, Oct 28. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (48.5% to 47.9%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dustin Wolf (CGY) saved -17.8 goals above expected to Tristan Jarry's -23.1, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.882.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Edmonton Oilers over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
| CGY | Metric | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| 47.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.5% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
 Yegor Sharangovich | C | 17 | 17 | 33 |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor McDavid | C | 40 | 87 | 127 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: EDM 6, CGY 5
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | EDM @ CGY | EDM 3, CGY 4 | CGY hit |
| 2025-12-27 | EDM @ CGY | EDM 2, CGY 3 | EDM missed |
| 2025-12-23 | CGY @ EDM | CGY 1, EDM 5 | EDM hit |
| 2025-10-08 | CGY @ EDM | CGY 5, EDM 4 | EDM missed |
| 2025-03-29 | CGY @ EDM | CGY 2, EDM 3 | EDM hit |
| 2024-11-03 | EDM @ CGY | EDM 4, CGY 2 | EDM hit |
| 2024-10-13 | CGY @ EDM | CGY 4, EDM 1 | EDM missed |
| 2024-04-06 | EDM @ CGY | EDM 4, CGY 2 | EDM hit |
 Leon Draisaitl | C | 37 | 58 | 95 |
|---|
 Evan Bouchard | D | 17 | 59 | 76 |
|---|
 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | C | 18 | 34 | 53 |
|---|
EDM@
NJD
