PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 PM ET
John Gibson · 0.901 SV%
The preseason ratings make Calgary Flames 52.1% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 2.1 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project CGY for 89 points and DET for 92.
The model leaned Calgary Flames at 52.1%.
PuckCast had Calgary Flames at 52.1% to win this game on Sat, Oct 24. The matchup detail follows.
DET controlled play at 5v5 last season, 56.2% of the expected goals to 47.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season John Gibson (DET) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Dustin Wolf's -17.8, on save percentages of 0.901 and 0.899.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Calgary Flames over Detroit Red Wings is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
DET
John Gibson
57 games, 2025-26
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
| DET | Metric | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| 56.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lucas Raymond | L | 29 | 52 | 81 |
 Alex DeBrincat | R | 35 | 39 | 74 |
 Moritz Seider | D | 9 | 43 | 52 |
 Viktor Arvidsson | L | 19 | 21 | 39 |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings | 92 | 38.1% |
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: CGY 0, DET 6
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | CGY @ DET | CGY 2, DET 5 | DET hit |
| 2025-12-10 | DET @ CGY | DET 4, CGY 3 | CGY missed |
| 2025-02-01 | DET @ CGY | DET 3, CGY 1 | CGY missed |
| 2024-11-27 | CGY @ DET | CGY 1, DET 2 | CGY missed |
| 2024-02-17 | DET @ CGY | DET 5, CGY 0 | CGY missed |
| 2023-10-22 | CGY @ DET | CGY 2, DET 6 | CGY missed |
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
|---|
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
|---|
 Yegor Sharangovich | C | 17 | 17 | 33 |
|---|
SEA@
CGY
