PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Thu, Oct 22, 10:00 PM ET
John Gibson · 0.901 SV%
The preseason ratings make Detroit Red Wings 54.8% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 4.8 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project DET for 92 points and VAN for 80.
The model leaned Detroit Red Wings at 54.8%.
PuckCast had Detroit Red Wings at 54.8% to win this game on Thu, Oct 22. The matchup detail follows.
DET controlled play at 5v5 last season, 56.2% of the expected goals to 38.4%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season John Gibson (DET) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.901 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Detroit Red Wings over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
DET
John Gibson
57 games, 2025-26
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
| DET | Metric | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 56.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 38.4% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lucas Raymond | L | 29 | 52 | 81 |
 Alex DeBrincat | R | 35 | 39 | 74 |
 Moritz Seider | D | 9 | 43 | 52 |
 Viktor Arvidsson | L | 19 | 21 | 39 |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elias Pettersson | C | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings | 92 | 38.1% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: VAN 2, DET 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | VAN @ DET | VAN 1, DET 5 | DET hit |
| 2025-12-08 | DET @ VAN | DET 4, VAN 0 | DET hit |
| 2025-02-02 | DET @ VAN | DET 3, VAN 2 | VAN missed |
| 2024-12-01 | VAN @ DET | VAN 5, DET 4 | DET missed |
| 2024-02-15 | DET @ VAN | DET 1, VAN 4 | VAN hit |
| 2024-02-10 | VAN @ DET | VAN 3, DET 4 | VAN missed |
 Brock Boeser | R | 25 | 29 | 53 |
|---|
 Marco Rossi | C | 18 | 28 | 46 |
|---|
 Filip Hronek | D | 7 | 36 | 43 |
|---|
VAN@
SJS
