PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Alex Nedeljkovic · 0.896 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 61.4% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 11.4 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and SJS for 91.
The model leaned Boston Bruins at 61.4%.
PuckCast had Boston Bruins at 61.4% to win this game on Sat, Oct 24. The matchup detail follows.
BOS controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.8% of the expected goals to 40.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Alex Nedeljkovic's -14.6, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.896.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over San Jose Sharks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
SJS
Alex Nedeljkovic
40 games, 2025-26
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
| SJS | Metric | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 40.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.8% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macklin Celebrini | C | 39 | 60 | 99 |
 Will Smith | C | 25 | 36 | 60 |
 Mason Marchment | L | 17 | 24 | 41 |
 Tyler Toffoli | C | 19 | 22 | 41 |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Pastrnak | R | 35 | 57 | 92 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| San Jose Sharks | 91 | 45.4% |
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: BOS 2, SJS 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | BOS @ SJS | BOS 6, SJS 3 | BOS hit |
| 2026-03-12 | SJS @ BOS | SJS 4, BOS 2 | BOS missed |
| 2025-11-23 | BOS @ SJS | BOS 1, SJS 3 | BOS missed |
| 2025-03-22 | BOS @ SJS | BOS 1, SJS 3 | BOS missed |
| 2025-01-20 | SJS @ BOS | SJS 3, BOS 6 | BOS hit |
 John-Jason Peterka | R | 25 | 28 | 53 |
|---|
 Morgan Geekie | C | 27 | 23 | 50 |
|---|
 Charlie McAvoy | D | 10 | 38 | 48 |
|---|
CHI@
BOS
