PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Thu, Oct 29, 7:00 PM ET
Karel Vejmelka · 0.897 SV%
The preseason ratings make Pittsburgh Penguins 54.3% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 4.3 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project PIT for 97 points and UTA for 99.
The model leaned Pittsburgh Penguins at 54.3%.
PuckCast had Pittsburgh Penguins at 54.3% to win this game on Thu, Oct 29. The matchup detail follows.
UTA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 60.0% of the expected goals to 53.8%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Karel Vejmelka (UTA) saved -22.7 goals above expected to Arturs Silovs's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.897 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Pittsburgh Penguins over Utah Mammoth is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
UTA
Karel Vejmelka
64 games, 2025-26
PIT
Arturs Silovs
39 games, 2025-26
| UTA | Metric | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 60.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 53.8% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Utah Mammoth
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clayton Keller | R | 27 | 53 | 80 |
 Dylan Guenther | R | 33 | 33 | 66 |
 Logan Cooley | C | 29 | 33 | 61 |
 Nick Schmaltz | C | 22 | 37 | 59 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sidney Crosby | C | 29 | 47 | 76 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 99 | 60.8% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 97 | 50.9% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: PIT 2, UTA 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | PIT @ UTA | PIT 4, UTA 5 | UTA hit |
| 2026-03-14 | PIT @ UTA | PIT 4, UTA 3 | UTA missed |
| 2025-12-14 | UTA @ PIT | UTA 5, PIT 4 | UTA hit |
| 2025-01-29 | PIT @ UTA | PIT 3, UTA 2 | UTA missed |
| 2024-11-23 | UTA @ PIT | UTA 6, PIT 1 | UTA hit |
 Evgeni Malkin | C | 21 | 39 | 59 |
|---|
 Erik Karlsson | D | 11 | 38 | 49 |
|---|
 Kris Letang | D | 7 | 31 | 38 |
|---|
BOS@
PIT
