PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Model read · Tue, Nov 3
Projected score UTA 3.7 – 3.6 TOR expected goals from the goals model
Mammoth project at 59% as the road lean — a B-tier edge worth 8.5 pts over a coin flip.
The model picks Mammoth at 58.5%, a 8.5-point edge over a coin flip. How this is calculated.
PuckCast gives Mammoth a 58.5% chance to win on Tue, Nov 3. UTA is 9-6-0 and TOR is 8-6-2. Projected in goal: UTA Karel Vejmelka, TOR Sergei Bobrovsky. The matchup detail follows.
Mammoth with a 8.5-point edge, backed by goalie out.
Net-positive signal profile for Mammoth. Grade: B.
TOR carries roughly a +0.8pp rest edge before model adjustments.
| Book | UTA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Caesars | -130 | +110 |
| DraftKings | -130 | +110 |
| Fanatics | -130 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -133 | +112 |
| BetMGM | -135 | +110 |
Market: 5 books, best price at DraftKings, lines as of Nov 3, 3:23 AM ET
Moneyline prices only — not a comparison against PuckCast’s model. See PuckCast Edge for the model-vs-market read.
3.74
UTA xG
3.64
TOR xG
7.39
Expected total
The lean against each posted line is part of PuckCast Edge — see “Model vs. market” below.
UTA
UTAEach team's own xGF% and CF% at 5v5 this season, shown side by side — not a prediction of how tonight's game itself will split. Raw and unadjusted: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
UTA top scorers
TOR top scorers
Six more reads on this game, past what’s free above: who’s out, how the starters are trending, the on-ice splits, the model’s read against the market, priced props and same-game combinations.
| Side | Grade | Market | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | B | |||
| TOR | B |
View MammothView Maple LeafsFinal scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: TOR 3, UTA 2
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | TOR @ UTA | TOR 4, UTA 5 | UTA hit |
| 2026-01-13 | TOR @ UTA | TOR 1, UTA 6 | UTA hit |
| 2025-11-05 | UTA @ TOR | UTA 3, TOR 5 | TOR hit |
| 2025-03-10 | TOR @ UTA | TOR 5, UTA 4 | TOR hit |
| 2024-11-24 | UTA @ TOR | UTA 2, TOR 3 | TOR hit |
PuckCast Edge
Edge members see where the model and the market disagree on this game, and the best price to take.
234 graded Edge plays this season across 35 nights, each recorded before puck drop and graded at the price when captured. See every play
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