PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET
Sergei Bobrovsky · 0.877 SV%
The preseason ratings make Utah Mammoth 54.4% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 4.4 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project UTA for 99 points and TOR for 85.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
UTA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 52.6% of the expected goals to 45.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Karel Vejmelka (UTA) saved -22.7 goals above expected to Sergei Bobrovsky's -41.5, on save percentages of 0.897 and 0.877.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Utah Mammoth over Toronto Maple Leafs is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
UTA
Karel Vejmelka
64 games, 2025-26
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky
52 games, 2025-26
| UTA | Metric | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 52.6% | xGF% (5v5) | 45.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Utah Mammoth
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clayton Keller | R | 27 | 53 | 80 |
 Dylan Guenther | R | 33 | 33 | 66 |
 Logan Cooley | C | 29 | 33 | 61 |
 Nick Schmaltz | C | 22 | 37 | 59 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auston Matthews | C | 40 | 39 | 79 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | TOR @ UTA | UTA | TOR 1–6 UTA | Correct |
| 2025-11-05 | UTA @ TOR | TOR | UTA 3–5 TOR | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 99 | 60.8% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 85 | 22.9% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 William Nylander | R | 31 | 43 | 74 |
|---|
 Kirill Marchenko | R | 25 | 33 | 58 |
|---|
 John Tavares | C | 25 | 33 | 58 |
|---|
COL@
TOR
