PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Wed, Oct 28, 9:00 PM ET
Connor Hellebuyck · 0.895 SV%
The preseason ratings make Colorado Avalanche 64.1% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 14.1 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project COL for 107 points and NJD for 94.
The model leaned Colorado Avalanche at 64.1%.
PuckCast had Colorado Avalanche at 64.1% to win this game on Wed, Oct 28. The matchup detail follows.
NJD controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.7% of the expected goals to 53.4%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) saved -6.0 goals above expected to Connor Hellebuyck's -22.8, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.895.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Colorado Avalanche over New Jersey Devils is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NJD
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood
39 games, 2025-26
| NJD | Metric | COL |
|---|---|---|
| 57.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 53.4% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jack Hughes | C | 31 | 53 | 84 |
 Jesper Bratt | L | 22 | 51 | 72 |
 Nico Hischier | C | 29 | 40 | 68 |
 Luke Hughes | D | 8 | 38 | 47 |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nathan MacKinnon | C | 38 | 70 | 108 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 107 | 78.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: COL 3, NJD 2
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | COL @ NJD | COL 3, NJD 4 | NJD hit |
| 2025-10-28 | NJD @ COL | NJD 4, COL 8 | COL hit |
| 2025-10-26 | COL @ NJD | COL 3, NJD 4 | COL missed |
| 2025-02-26 | NJD @ COL | NJD 1, COL 5 | COL hit |
| 2024-12-08 | COL @ NJD | COL 4, NJD 0 | NJD missed |
 Cale Makar | D | 23 | 60 | 84 |
|---|
 Martin Necas | C | 29 | 51 | 80 |
|---|
 Nazem Kadri | C | 18 | 27 | 45 |
|---|
COL@
CBJ
