PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Fri, Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET
Dustin Wolf · 0.899 SV%
The preseason ratings make Calgary Flames 55.9% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 5.9 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project CGY for 89 points and SEA for 88.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (46.1% to 45.8%); CGY's power play ran at 16.2% against a SEA kill at 72.2%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dustin Wolf (CGY) saved -17.8 goals above expected to Joey Daccord's -18.4, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.897.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Calgary Flames over Seattle Kraken is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
SEA
Joey Daccord
47 games, 2025-26
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
| SEA | Metric | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| 45.8% | xGF% (5v5) | 46.1% |
| 46.5% | Shot share | 48.4% |
| 2.7 | Goals for / game | 2.5 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 3.1 |
| 19.6% | Power play | 16.2% |
| 72.2% | Penalty kill | 80.4% |
| 47.7% | Faceoffs | 49.3% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 21 | 31 | 51 | |
| L | 20 | 25 | 45 | |
| D | 10 | 31 | 41 | |
| R | 16 | 23 | 39 |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 15 | 29 | 45 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | CGY @ SEA | SEA | CGY 1–4 SEA | Correct |
| 2026-01-05 | SEA @ CGY | CGY | SEA 5–1 CGY | Missed |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA @ CGY | CGY | SEA 2–4 CGY | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Kraken | 88 | 38.6% |
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
| C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
| L | 17 | 20 | 36 |