PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Wed, Oct 28, 10:00 PM ET
Sergei Bobrovsky · 0.877 SV%
The preseason ratings make Seattle Kraken 56.4% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 6.4 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project SEA for 88 points and TOR for 85.
The model leaned Seattle Kraken at 56.4%.
PuckCast had Seattle Kraken at 56.4% to win this game on Wed, Oct 28. The matchup detail follows.
TOR controlled play at 5v5 last season, 47.3% of the expected goals to 44.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Joey Daccord (SEA) saved -18.4 goals above expected to Sergei Bobrovsky's -41.5, on save percentages of 0.897 and 0.877.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Seattle Kraken over Toronto Maple Leafs is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky
52 games, 2025-26
SEA
Joey Daccord
47 games, 2025-26
| TOR | Metric | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 47.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 44.5% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auston Matthews | C | 40 | 39 | 79 |
 William Nylander | R | 31 | 43 | 74 |
 Darren Raddysh | D | 13 | 34 | 47 |
 Morgan Rielly | D | 7 | 29 | 36 |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matty Beniers | C | 21 | 31 | 51 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 85 | 22.9% |
| Seattle Kraken | 88 | 38.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: SEA 2, TOR 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | TOR @ SEA | TOR 2, SEA 5 | SEA hit |
| 2025-10-18 | SEA @ TOR | SEA 4, TOR 3 | TOR missed |
| 2025-02-06 | TOR @ SEA | TOR 3, SEA 1 | TOR hit |
| 2024-10-31 | SEA @ TOR | SEA 1, TOR 4 | TOR hit |
| 2024-01-21 | TOR @ SEA | TOR 3, SEA 1 | TOR hit |
| 2023-11-30 | SEA @ TOR | SEA 3, TOR 5 | TOR hit |
 Vince Dunn | D | 10 | 31 | 41 |
|---|
 Jordan Eberle | R | 16 | 23 | 39 |
|---|
 Chandler Stephenson | C | 11 | 27 | 38 |
|---|
NYR@
SEA
