PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sat, Oct 31, 10:00 PM ET
Dustin Wolf · 0.899 SV%
The preseason ratings make Colorado Avalanche 67.6% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 17.6 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project COL for 107 points and CGY for 89.
The model leaned Colorado Avalanche at 67.6%.
PuckCast had Colorado Avalanche at 67.6% to win this game on Sat, Oct 31. The matchup detail follows.
COL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 53.4% of the expected goals to 47.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) saved -6.0 goals above expected to Dustin Wolf's -17.8, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.899.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Colorado Avalanche over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood
39 games, 2025-26
| CGY | Metric | COL |
|---|---|---|
| 47.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 53.4% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
 Yegor Sharangovich | C | 17 | 17 | 33 |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nathan MacKinnon | C | 38 | 70 | 108 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 107 | 78.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: COL 6, CGY 1
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | COL @ CGY | COL 7, CGY 3 | COL hit |
| 2026-04-14 | COL @ CGY | COL 3, CGY 1 | COL hit |
| 2026-04-09 | CGY @ COL | CGY 1, COL 3 | COL hit |
| 2026-03-30 | CGY @ COL | CGY 2, COL 9 | COL hit |
| 2025-03-31 | CGY @ COL | CGY 3, COL 2 | COL missed |
| 2025-03-14 | COL @ CGY | COL 4, CGY 2 | COL hit |
| 2025-02-06 | COL @ CGY | COL 4, CGY 2 | COL hit |
 Cale Makar | D | 23 | 60 | 84 |
|---|
 Martin Necas | C | 29 | 51 | 80 |
|---|
 Nazem Kadri | C | 18 | 27 | 45 |
|---|
NSH@
COL
