PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sat, Oct 31, 1:00 PM ET
Jordan Binnington · 0.873 SV%
The preseason ratings make Detroit Red Wings 54.3% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 4.3 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project DET for 92 points and STL for 94.
The model leaned Detroit Red Wings at 54.3%.
PuckCast had Detroit Red Wings at 54.3% to win this game on Sat, Oct 31. The matchup detail follows.
DET controlled play at 5v5 last season, 56.2% of the expected goals to 49.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season John Gibson (DET) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Jordan Binnington's -37.1, on save percentages of 0.901 and 0.873.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Detroit Red Wings over St. Louis Blues is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
STL
Jordan Binnington
41 games, 2025-26
DET
John Gibson
57 games, 2025-26
| STL | Metric | DET |
|---|---|---|
| 49.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 56.2% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
St. Louis Blues
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Robert Thomas | C | 22 | 50 | 72 |
 Jimmy Snuggerud | R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
 Pavel Buchnevich | L | 19 | 30 | 49 |
 Mason McTavish | C | 20 | 29 | 49 |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lucas Raymond | L | 29 | 52 | 81 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Blues | 94 | 50.0% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 92 | 38.1% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: DET 4, STL 2
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | DET @ STL | DET 5, STL 2 | DET hit |
| 2025-10-25 | STL @ DET | STL 4, DET 6 | DET hit |
| 2025-04-01 | DET @ STL | DET 1, STL 2 | STL hit |
| 2024-12-23 | STL @ DET | STL 4, DET 0 | DET missed |
| 2024-02-24 | STL @ DET | STL 1, DET 6 | DET hit |
| 2023-12-12 | DET @ STL | DET 6, STL 4 | STL missed |
 Alex DeBrincat | R | 35 | 39 | 74 |
|---|
 Moritz Seider | D | 9 | 43 | 52 |
|---|
 Viktor Arvidsson | L | 19 | 21 | 39 |
|---|
VGK@
DET
