PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM ET
Tristan Jarry · 0.882 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Islanders 53.6% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 3.6 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project NYI for 94 points and EDM for 97.
The model leaned New York Islanders at 53.6%.
PuckCast had New York Islanders at 53.6% to win this game on Sat, Oct 31. The matchup detail follows.
NYI controlled play at 5v5 last season, 50.5% of the expected goals to 48.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Ilya Sorokin (NYI) saved -6.3 goals above expected to Tristan Jarry's -23.1, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.882.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Islanders over Edmonton Oilers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
NYI
Ilya Sorokin
55 games, 2025-26
| EDM | Metric | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| 48.5% | xGF% (5v5) | 50.5% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor McDavid | C | 40 | 87 | 127 |
 Leon Draisaitl | C | 37 | 58 | 95 |
 Evan Bouchard | D | 17 | 59 | 76 |
 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | C | 18 | 34 | 53 |
New York Islanders
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Schaefer | D | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
| New York Islanders | 94 | 42.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NYI 3, EDM 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | NYI @ EDM | NYI 1, EDM 0 | EDM missed |
| 2025-10-16 | EDM @ NYI | EDM 2, NYI 4 | EDM missed |
| 2025-03-14 | EDM @ NYI | EDM 2, NYI 1 | NYI missed |
| 2024-11-12 | NYI @ EDM | NYI 3, EDM 4 | EDM hit |
| 2023-12-19 | EDM @ NYI | EDM 1, NYI 3 | EDM missed |
| 2023-11-13 | NYI @ EDM | NYI 1, EDM 4 | EDM hit |
 Bo Horvat | C | 22 | 24 | 46 |
|---|
 Simon Holmstrom | R | 17 | 20 | 36 |
|---|
 Brayden Schenn | C | 12 | 18 | 31 |
|---|
NYI@
SJS
