PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sun, Nov 1, 6:00 PM ET
Igor Shesterkin · 0.912 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Rangers 51.9% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 1.9 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project NYR for 91 points and EDM for 97.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
EDM controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.0% of the expected goals to 48.0%; NYR's power play ran at 24.6% against a EDM kill at 75.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to Tristan Jarry's -23.1, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.882.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Rangers over Edmonton Oilers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
| EDM | Metric | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.0% |
| 52.3% | Shot share | 46.6% |
| 3.4 | Goals for / game | 2.9 |
| 3.3 | Goals against / game | 3.0 |
| 30.5% | Power play | 24.6% |
| 75.9% | Penalty kill | 79.9% |
| 52.5% | Faceoffs | 54.5% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 40 | 87 | 127 | |
| C | 37 | 58 | 95 | |
| D | 17 | 59 | 76 | |
| C | 18 | 34 | 53 |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 11 | 51 | 61 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | NYR @ EDM | EDM | NYR 4–3 EDM | Missed |
| 2025-10-14 | EDM @ NYR | EDM | EDM 2–0 NYR | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 24 | 37 | 61 |
| C | 19 | 37 | 56 |
| R | 32 | 22 | 54 |