PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Wed, Nov 11, 10:00 PM ET
Alex Nedeljkovic · 0.896 SV%
The preseason ratings make Pittsburgh Penguins 50.4% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 0.4 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project PIT for 97 points and SJS for 91.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Pittsburgh Penguins a 50.4% chance to win on Wed, Nov 11. The matchup detail follows.
PIT controlled play at 5v5 last season, 50.9% of the expected goals to 47.0%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Alex Nedeljkovic (SJS) saved -14.6 goals above expected to Arturs Silovs's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.896 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Pittsburgh Penguins over San Jose Sharks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
PIT
Arturs Silovs
39 games, 2025-26
SJS
Alex Nedeljkovic
40 games, 2025-26
| PIT | Metric | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| 50.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.0% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sidney Crosby | C | 29 | 47 | 76 |
 Evgeni Malkin | C | 21 | 39 | 59 |
 Erik Karlsson | D | 11 | 38 | 49 |
 Bryan Rust | R | 21 | 26 | 47 |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macklin Celebrini | C | 39 | 60 | 99 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | SJS @ PIT | PIT | SJS 6–5 PIT | Missed |
| 2025-10-18 | PIT @ SJS | PIT | PIT 3–0 SJS | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 97 | 50.9% |
| San Jose Sharks | 91 | 45.4% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Will Smith | C | 25 | 36 | 60 |
|---|
 Mason Marchment | L | 17 | 24 | 41 |
|---|
 Tyler Toffoli | C | 19 | 22 | 41 |
|---|
CGY@
SJS
