PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET
Jeremy Swayman · 0.908 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 54.0% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 4.0 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and MIN for 101.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
MIN controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.2% of the expected goals to 47.6%; BOS's power play ran at 22.7% against a MIN kill at 76.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Filip Gustavsson's -9.1, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.904.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over Minnesota Wild is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
MIN
Filip Gustavsson
50 games, 2025-26
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
| MIN | Metric | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 51.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.6% |
| 49.5% | Shot share | 47.4% |
| 3.3 | Goals for / game | 3.2 |
| 3.0 | Goals against / game | 3.0 |
| 24.3% | Power play | 22.7% |
| 76.9% | Penalty kill | 78.5% |
| 47.0% | Faceoffs | 53.3% |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 35 | 45 | 80 | |
| L | 38 | 41 | 79 | |
| D | 12 | 67 | 78 | |
| D | 13 | 35 | 47 |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35 | 57 | 92 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | MIN @ BOS | MIN | MIN 3–6 BOS | Missed |
| 2025-12-14 | BOS @ MIN | BOS | BOS 2–6 MIN | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild | 101 | 65.5% |
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 25 | 28 | 53 |
| C | 27 | 23 | 50 |
| D | 10 | 38 | 48 |