PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Dec 8, 7:00 PM ET
Linus Ullmark · 0.891 SV%
The preseason ratings make Ottawa Senators 60.3% to win at home — a clear lean, worth 10.3 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project OTT for 100 points and ANA for 94.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
OTT controlled play at 5v5 last season, 55.4% of the expected goals to 51.0%; OTT's power play ran at 22.5% against a ANA kill at 75.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Linus Ullmark (OTT) saved -23.2 goals above expected to Lukas Dostal's -32.8, on save percentages of 0.891 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Ottawa Senators over Anaheim Ducks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
ANA
Lukas Dostal
56 games, 2025-26
OTT
Linus Ullmark
49 games, 2025-26
| ANA | Metric | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 55.4% |
| 52.4% | Shot share | 53.7% |
| 3.2 | Goals for / game | 3.3 |
| 3.5 | Goals against / game | 3.0 |
| 20.2% | Power play | 22.5% |
| 75.6% | Penalty kill | 76.4% |
| 47.8% | Faceoffs | 54.7% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 34 | 29 | 63 | |
| C | 25 | 34 | 60 | |
| R | 21 | 34 | 55 | |
| R | 19 | 33 | 51 |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 32 | 57 | 90 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | ANA @ OTT | OTT | ANA 0–2 OTT | Correct |
| 2025-11-20 | OTT @ ANA | OTT | OTT 3–2 ANA | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks | 94 | 53.3% |
| Ottawa Senators | 100 | 58.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 26 | 37 | 63 |
| L | 17 | 40 | 57 |
| D | 12 | 42 | 54 |