Who is favoured, Detroit Red Wings or Boston Bruins?

Boston Bruins, at 59.6% in PuckCast's preseason forecast. That is a rating-based forecast; the full model read, with goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of puck drop.

What is a preseason forecast?

A win probability from each team's regressed preseason rating and home ice, the same ratings behind the 2026-27 projected standings. Those ratings are calibrated at the season level, for standings and playoff odds; this single-game percentage is a plain rating formula and has not been graded on its own yet. It is deliberately unsure about any single game, and the confidence grade says how far it leans.

When does the real prediction publish?

Inside the seven-day window before the game. The model re-scores it on every refresh until puck drop, with the confirmed starting goalies, and this page shows that read instead of the forecast.

Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins, Sat, Dec 5: prediction and odds forecast

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2026-27 forecast · Sat, Dec 5, 1:00 PM ET

Detroit Red WingsDET

92 proj. pts · 38.1% playoffs

John Gibson · 0.901 SV%

Bvs1:00 PM ET

Boston BruinsBOS

99 proj. pts · 54.2% playoffs

A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works

The read

Preseason ratings · last season’s record

at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (47.6% to 48.4%); BOS's power play ran at 22.7% against a DET kill at 77.1%.

In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to John Gibson's -12.5, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.901.

None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over Detroit Red Wings is where it starts, not where it ends.

In goal

goalie board

No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.

DET

John Gibson

SV%: 0.901
GSAx: -12.5
GAA: 2.72
Record: 29-22-4

57 games, 2025-26

BOS

Jeremy Swayman

SV%: 0.908
GSAx: -4.6
GAA: 2.71
Record: 31-18-4

55 games, 2025-26

DET	Metric	BOS
48.4%	xGF% (5v5)	47.6%
50.4%	Shot share	47.4%
2.9	Goals for / game	3.2
3.1	Goals against / game	3.0
22.6%	Power play	22.7%
77.1%	Penalty kill	78.5%
51.0%	Faceoffs	53.3%

Who drives it

2026-27 projected points

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Pos	G	A	Pts
Lucas Raymond	L	29	52	81
Alex DeBrincat	R	35	39	74
Dylan Larkin	C	28	35	63
Moritz Seider	D	9	43	52

Boston Bruins

Player	Pos	G	A	Pts
David Pastrnak	R	35	57	92

Last season, head to head

ledger

Date	Game	Pick	Score	Result
2026-03-21	BOS @ DET	DET	BOS 4–2 DET	Missed
2026-01-13	DET @ BOS	BOS	DET 0–3 BOS	Correct
2025-12-02	BOS @ DET	DET	BOS 4–5 DET	Correct
2025-11-29	DET @ BOS	DET	DET 2–3 BOS	Missed

Season outlook

projected standings

Team	Proj. points	Playoff odds
Detroit Red Wings	92	38.1%
Boston Bruins	99	54.2%