PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Sat, Jan 9, 10:00 PM ET
Alex Nedeljkovic · 0.896 SV%
The preseason ratings make San Jose Sharks 53.6% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 3.6 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project SJS for 91 points and NYR for 91.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
NYR controlled play at 5v5 last season, 48.0% of the expected goals to 47.0%; SJS's power play ran at 21.2% against a NYR kill at 79.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to Alex Nedeljkovic's -14.6, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.896.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. San Jose Sharks over New York Rangers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
SJS
Alex Nedeljkovic
40 games, 2025-26
| NYR | Metric | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.0% |
| 46.6% | Shot share | 46.5% |
| 2.9 | Goals for / game | 3.0 |
| 3.0 | Goals against / game | 3.5 |
| 24.6% | Power play | 21.2% |
| 79.9% | Penalty kill | 76.4% |
| 54.5% | Faceoffs | 47.8% |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 11 | 51 | 61 | |
| C | 24 | 37 | 61 | |
| C | 19 | 37 | 56 | |
| R | 32 | 22 | 54 |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 39 | 60 | 99 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | NYR @ SJS | NYR | NYR 1–3 SJS | Missed |
| 2025-10-23 | SJS @ NYR | NYR | SJS 6–5 NYR | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
| San Jose Sharks | 91 | 45.4% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 25 | 36 | 60 |
| L | 17 | 24 | 41 |
| C | 19 | 22 | 41 |