PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sun, Jan 10, 8:00 PM ET
Mackenzie Blackwood · 0.904 SV%
The preseason ratings make Colorado Avalanche 64.8% to win at home — a clear lean, worth 14.8 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project COL for 107 points and NSH for 93.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
COL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.6% of the expected goals to 47.7%; COL's power play ran at 17.8% against a NSH kill at 81.7%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) saved -6.0 goals above expected to Juuse Saros's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.894.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Colorado Avalanche over Nashville Predators is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NSH
Juuse Saros
59 games, 2025-26
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood
39 games, 2025-26
| NSH | Metric | COL |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 57.6% |
| 48.5% | Shot share | 56.3% |
| 3.0 | Goals for / game | 3.7 |
| 3.3 | Goals against / game | 2.4 |
| 23.1% | Power play | 17.8% |
| 81.7% | Penalty kill | 84.0% |
| 50.5% | Faceoffs | 51.2% |
Nashville Predators
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 32 | 36 | 67 | |
| C | 31 | 29 | 59 | |
| C | 17 | 32 | 49 | |
| D | 10 | 32 | 43 |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 38 | 70 | 108 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | NSH @ COL | COL | NSH 7–3 COL | Missed |
| 2025-12-13 | NSH @ COL | COL | NSH 2–4 COL | Correct |
| 2025-12-09 | COL @ NSH | COL | COL 3–4 NSH | Missed |
| 2025-11-22 | COL @ NSH | COL | COL 3–0 NSH | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators | 93 | 47.6% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 107 | 78.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| D | 23 | 60 | 84 |
| C | 29 | 51 | 80 |
| C | 18 | 27 | 45 |