PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Fri, Jan 8, 9:00 PM ET
Mackenzie Blackwood · 0.904 SV%
The preseason ratings make Colorado Avalanche 68.4% to win at home — a clear lean, worth 18.4 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project COL for 107 points and SEA for 88.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
COL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.6% of the expected goals to 45.8%; COL's power play ran at 17.8% against a SEA kill at 72.2%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) saved -6.0 goals above expected to Joey Daccord's -18.4, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.897.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Colorado Avalanche over Seattle Kraken is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
SEA
Joey Daccord
47 games, 2025-26
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood
39 games, 2025-26
| SEA | Metric | COL |
|---|---|---|
| 45.8% | xGF% (5v5) | 57.6% |
| 46.5% | Shot share | 56.3% |
| 2.7 | Goals for / game | 3.7 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 2.4 |
| 19.6% | Power play | 17.8% |
| 72.2% | Penalty kill | 84.0% |
| 47.7% | Faceoffs | 51.2% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 21 | 31 | 51 | |
| L | 20 | 25 | 45 | |
| D | 10 | 31 | 41 | |
| R | 16 | 23 | 39 |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 38 | 70 | 108 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | SEA @ COL | COL | SEA 0–2 COL | Correct |
| 2026-03-12 | COL @ SEA | COL | COL 5–1 SEA | Correct |
| 2025-12-16 | COL @ SEA | COL | COL 5–3 SEA | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Kraken | 88 | 38.6% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 107 | 78.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| D | 23 | 60 | 84 |
| C | 29 | 51 | 80 |
| C | 18 | 27 | 45 |