Buffalo Sabres at Vegas Golden Knights

VGK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 54.7% of the expected goals to 50.7%; BUF's power play ran at 19.7% against a VGK kill at 82.2%.

In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) saved -1.3 goals above expected to Adin Hill's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.910 and 0.871.

None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Buffalo Sabres over Vegas Golden Knights is where it starts, not where it ends.

No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

SV%

0.910

GSAx

-1.3

GAA

2.52

Record

22-9-3

35 games, 2025-26

VGK

Adin Hill

SV%

0.871

GSAx

-23.2

GAA

3.04

Record

10-9-6

27 games, 2025-26