PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Wed, Feb 3, 9:00 PM ET
Karel Vejmelka · 0.897 SV%
The preseason ratings make Utah Mammoth 52.1% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 2.1 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project UTA for 99 points and CGY for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Utah Mammoth a 52.1% chance to win on Wed, Feb 3. The matchup detail follows.
UTA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 60.0% of the expected goals to 47.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dustin Wolf (CGY) saved -17.8 goals above expected to Karel Vejmelka's -22.7, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.897.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Utah Mammoth over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
UTA
Karel Vejmelka
64 games, 2025-26
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
| UTA | Metric | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| 60.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Utah Mammoth
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clayton Keller | R | 27 | 53 | 80 |
 Dylan Guenther | R | 33 | 33 | 66 |
 Logan Cooley | C | 29 | 33 | 61 |
 Nick Schmaltz | C | 22 | 37 | 59 |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonathan Huberdeau | L | 15 | 29 | 45 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 99 | 60.8% |
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: CGY 2, UTA 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | UTA @ CGY | UTA 1, CGY 4 | UTA missed |
| 2025-12-06 | UTA @ CGY | UTA 0, CGY 2 | CGY hit |
| 2025-10-15 | CGY @ UTA | CGY 1, UTA 3 | UTA hit |
| 2025-04-01 | CGY @ UTA | CGY 1, UTA 3 | UTA hit |
| 2025-01-02 | UTA @ CGY | UTA 5, CGY 3 | CGY missed |
| 2024-10-30 | CGY @ UTA | CGY 1, UTA 5 | UTA hit |
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
|---|
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
|---|
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
|---|
CGY@
LAK
