PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Mar 9, 9:00 PM ET
Mackenzie Blackwood · 0.904 SV%
The preseason ratings make Colorado Avalanche 60.9% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 10.8 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project COL for 107 points and PHI for 98.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Colorado Avalanche a 60.9% chance to win on Tue, Mar 9. The matchup detail follows.
COL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.6% of the expected goals to 51.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dan Vladar (PHI) saved -5.5 goals above expected to Mackenzie Blackwood's -6.0, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.904.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Colorado Avalanche over Philadelphia Flyers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
PHI
Dan Vladar
52 games, 2025-26
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood
39 games, 2025-26
| PHI | Metric | COL |
|---|---|---|
| 51.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 57.6% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Travis Konecny | R | 25 | 39 | 64 |
 Matvei Michkov | R | 24 | 35 | 59 |
 Trevor Zegras | C | 19 | 31 | 50 |
 Owen Tippett | R | 23 | 22 | 44 |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nathan MacKinnon | C | 38 | 70 | 108 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | PHI @ COL | COL | PHI 7–3 COL | Missed |
| 2025-12-07 | COL @ PHI | COL | COL 3–2 PHI | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Flyers | 98 | 53.4% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 107 | 78.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Cale Makar | D | 23 | 60 | 84 |
|---|
 Martin Necas | C | 29 | 51 | 80 |
|---|
 Nazem Kadri | C | 18 | 27 | 45 |
|---|
EDM@
COL
