PuckCast Edge
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Brandon Hagel is a 28-year-old left wing for the Tampa Bay Lightning. A 2016 Draft pick (Round 6). Born in Saskatoon, CAN.
This season, the left-shooting forward has 8 goals and 8 assists for 16 points in 13 games. He averages 1.23 points per game on 21:28 of ice time.
2026-27 · Regular season
#24 NHL
2026-27 projection
Projected September 28, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 51–102 pts
MIXED — 62nd percentile at L, 58% hit rate (71 GP, 2025-26)
2026-27 · Regular season
Full statistical breakdown for the 2026-27 regular season.
League percentile
Vs. all NHL skaters, 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
2026-27 pace
Where Brandon's current rate finishes the 2026-27 season.
End of season forecast, current pace
68
games remaining
Goals
50
Current: 8
Assists
50
Current: 8
Points
100
Current: 16
Elite production projected. Most likely range is 78-122 points, with upside potential exceeding 144 points in optimal scenarios.
0.0%
Art Ross
Most Points
0.0%
Rocket
Most Goals
0.0%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
5v5
What happened while Brandon was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2026-27.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 13 games, 260 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
58.4 vs 57.3 lg
58th percentile
Quality of teammates
76.7 vs 56.8 lg
97th percentile
Deployment
neutral
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Brandon takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
79
Goals vs expected
8 vs 6.7 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
31%
With-or-without-you
Who Brandon plays with at 5v5, and how the shot-quality share moves when they are apart — a with-or-without-you read.
| Teammate | Together | xGF% with | xGF% apart | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony CirelliC | 136 min | 58.8 | — | — |
5v5, real shift-overlap TOI; Corsi incl blocked, xG unblocked. “Apart” is that teammate’s share in the minutes he played without Brandon, so the swing is a comparison of the same player in two situations rather than against the league. Pairs need 100 minutes together to appear at all, and a swing still carries whoever else was on the ice — it is a strong hint, not an isolated effect.
2026-27
PuckCast Player Intelligence, and the skill radar and on-ice impact behind it.
Skill radar & on-ice impact vs. NHL forwards
92
Offense
27
Defense
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, a top on-ice shot share, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking, a heavy penalty-kill workload. Areas for improvement: bleeds goals against at evens.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
65-pt spreadThe 65-point spread between offensive (92th) and defensive (27th) percentiles is extreme for a winger. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, a top on-ice shot share, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking, a heavy penalty-kill workload. Areas for improvement: bleeds goals against at evens.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
65-pt spreadThe 65-point spread between offensive (92th) and defensive (27th) percentiles is extreme for a winger. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Brandon Hagel's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-272026-27 | TBL | 13 | 8 | 8 | 16 | -4 | 58 | 13.8% | |||
| 25-262025-26 | TBL | 71 | 36 | 38 | 74 | +34 | 214 | 16.8% | |||
| 24-252024-25 | TBL | 82 | 35 | 55 | 90 | +33 | 228 | 15.4% |
Form
Brandon's last five games played — playoff games included if his team advanced, since the NHL does not separate them here.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ NSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 20:13 |
| Oct 29 | vs WPG | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 21:47 |
| Oct 24 | @ UTA | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 7 | 22:51 |
| Oct 23 | @ COL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 20:33 |
| Oct 20 | @ VGK | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:55 |
Similar left wings
Same position, comparable 2026-27 projected rate and 2026-27 shot/power-play rate. Compare Brandon to another player
Roster
Top teammates by points on the Tampa Bay Lightning this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts, where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a forward. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy, zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
| 23-242023-24 | TBL | 82 | 26 | 49 | 75 | +1 | 184 | 14.1% |
| 22-232022-23 | TBL | 81 | 30 | 34 | 64 | +23 | 178 | 16.9% |
| 21-222021-22 | TBL | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 31 | 12.9% |
| 21-222021-22 | CHI | 55 | 21 | 16 | 37 | -14 | 94 | 22.3% |
| 20-212020-21 | CHI | 52 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -7 | 91 | 9.9% |
| 19-202019-20 | CHI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | — |
| Career | — | 459 | 169 | 218 | 387 | +62 | 1082 | 15.6% |

Victor Hedman
D · 5 pts