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Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Right Wing•#29PPI 35Pontus Holmberg is a 27-year-old right wing for the Tampa Bay Lightning. A 2018 Draft pick (Round 6). Born in Vasteras, SWE.
This season, the left-shooting forward has 4 goals and 6 assists for 10 points in 13 games. He averages 0.77 points per game on 14:34 of ice time.
2026-27 · Regular season
2026-27 projection
Projected September 28, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 8–35 pts
2026-27 · Regular season
Full statistical breakdown for the 2026-27 regular season.
League percentile
Vs. all NHL skaters, 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
2026-27 pace
Where Pontus's current rate finishes the 2026-27 season.
End of season forecast, current pace
68
games remaining
Goals
25
Current: 4
Assists
37
Current: 6
Points
62
Current: 10
Solid middle-six production projected. Range of 48-76 points most likely, with breakout potential toward 90.
0.0%
Art Ross
Most Points
0.0%
Rocket
Most Goals
0.0%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
5v5
What happened while Pontus was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2026-27.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 13 games, 224 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
62.2 vs 57.3 lg
88th percentile
Quality of teammates
56.2 vs 56.8 lg
49th percentile
Deployment
tough-comp
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Pontus takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
34
Goals vs expected
4 vs 2.8 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
43%
With-or-without-you
Who Pontus plays with at 5v5, and how the shot-quality share moves when they are apart — a with-or-without-you read.
| Teammate | Together | xGF% with | xGF% apart | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya MikheyevR | 112 min | 47.9 | — | — |
| Zemgus GirgensonsC | 106 min | 53.1 | — | — |
5v5, real shift-overlap TOI; Corsi incl blocked, xG unblocked. “Apart” is that teammate’s share in the minutes he played without Pontus, so the swing is a comparison of the same player in two situations rather than against the league. Pairs need 100 minutes together to appear at all, and a swing still carries whoever else was on the ice — it is a strong hint, not an isolated effect.
2026-27
PuckCast Player Intelligence, and the skill radar and on-ice impact behind it.
Skill radar & on-ice impact vs. NHL forwards
65
Offense
52
Defense
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays strong offensive ability, exceptional playmaking.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
13-pt spreadLeans offensive. The 13-point spread between offensive (65th) and defensive (52th) percentiles is typical of a scoring-first winger.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays strong offensive ability, exceptional playmaking.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
13-pt spreadLeans offensive. The 13-point spread between offensive (65th) and defensive (52th) percentiles is typical of a scoring-first winger.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Pontus Holmberg's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-272026-27 | TBL | 13 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 21 | 19.0% | |||
| 25-262025-26 | TBL | 70 | 11 | 11 | 22 | +1 | 90 | 12.2% | |||
| 24-252024-25 | TOR | 68 | 7 | 12 | 19 | +4 | 68 | 10.3% |
Form
Pontus's last five games played — playoff games included if his team advanced, since the NHL does not separate them here.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ NSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 14:50 |
| Oct 29 | vs WPG | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 1 | 17:54 |
| Oct 24 | @ UTA | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:11 |
| Oct 23 | @ COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 11:59 |
| Oct 20 | @ VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 13:40 |
Similar right wings
Same position, comparable 2026-27 projected rate and 2026-27 shot/power-play rate. Compare Pontus to another player
Roster
Top teammates by points on the Tampa Bay Lightning this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts, where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a forward. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy, zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
| 23-242023-24 | TOR | 54 | 7 | 10 | 17 | +11 | 54 | 13.0% |
| 22-232022-23 | TOR | 37 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 27 | 18.5% |
| Career | — | 242 | 34 | 47 | 81 | +16 | 260 | 13.1% |
Victor Hedman
D · 5 pts
