PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Atlantic Division · Eastern Conference
| Date | Opponent | Rest | TBL win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs Red Wings | 2 days | 66%Final pick |
| Nov 5 | vs Blackhawks | 1 day | 74%Model read |
| Nov 7 | at Wild | 1 day | 47%Model read |
| Nov 8 | at Jets | B2B | 63%Model read |
| Nov 11 | at Sabres | 2 days | 45%Forecast |
Final pick is the locked call for that night. Model read is today’s read for a game inside the next week and can still move. Forecast comes from preseason team ratings and is replaced by the model read as the game gets close. Rest is full days off since the team’s last game; B2B is the second night of a back-to-back. NHL back-to-back schedule →
10-3the model’s record on Tampa Bay Lightning games.
Tampa Bay Lightning is #8 at 65 (down 13 since Sep 7). Scale is 0 to 100; each point is one published Power Index reading.
76.9%
10 of 13 correct
Top 3 of 32: the model is unusually sharp on this team. Lean a bit harder on the model's read here. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
84
Offense
42
Defense
70
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Tampa Bay Lightning profile as an offense-first group that lives and dies by the scoresheet. They don't need overtime. Most of their wins come in regulation, a sign of genuine dominance. Trending in the right direction with solid recent form.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Clear strengths in home, reg wins, offense, all above the 65th percentile. Road (29th) is the one clear weakness opponents can exploit.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
3.69 GPG
3.31 GA/G
+5
69.2%
7 RW in 13 GP
6-2-2
6-0-0
2-3-2
Upcoming
vs Red Wings
7:00 PM ET • Benchmark International Arena
7-5-3 (17 pts)
Win Prob
66%
Model Edge
+15.6
TBL Starter
DET Starter
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 54.4 | 54.4 | 53.7 | 29.8 | 25.7 | 36 | 28 | 100.6 |
| Power play | 92.2 | 91.3 | 90.7 | 10.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 1 | 97.0 |
| Penalty kill | 14.7 | 15.2 | 10.9 | 0.9 | 7.8 | 0 | 8 | 83.0 |
| All strengths | 54.3 | 54.6 | 53.7 | 43.7 | 37.7 | 48 | 43 | 98.9 |
13 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10. It regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
69
Overall Quality
90% Full Strength
88
Top Line
80
Top Pair
75
Starter
Standings
