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Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Defenseman•#44PPI 74Morgan Rielly is a 32-year-old defenseman for the Toronto Maple Leafs. Selected 5th overall by TOR in the 2012 NHL Draft. Born in Vancouver, CAN.
On the blue line this season, Morgan has recorded 0 goals and 11 assists for 11 points across 16 games. He averages 0.69 points per game on 19:36 of ice time.
2026-27 · Regular season
2026-27 projection
Projected September 28, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 21–51 pts
2026-27 · Regular season
Full statistical breakdown for the 2026-27 regular season.
League percentile
Vs. all NHL skaters, 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
2026-27 pace
Where Morgan's current rate finishes the 2026-27 season.
End of season forecast, current pace
68
games remaining
Goals
0
Current: 0
Assists
58
Current: 11
Points
58
Current: 11
Moderate production expected. Likely to finish between 47-70 points with consistent deployment.
0.0%
Art Ross
Most Points
0.0%
Rocket
Most Goals
0.0%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
5v5
What happened while Morgan was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2026-27.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 16 games, 383 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
57.8 vs 57.3 lg
46th percentile
Quality of teammates
58.3 vs 56.8 lg
47th percentile
Deployment
neutral
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Morgan takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
32
Goals vs expected
0 vs 1.1 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
7%
With-or-without-you
Who Morgan plays with at 5v5, and how the shot-quality share moves when they are apart — a with-or-without-you read.
| Teammate | Together | xGF% with | xGF% apart | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy StecherD | 110 min | 40.9 | 54.1 | -13.2 |
5v5, real shift-overlap TOI; Corsi incl blocked, xG unblocked. “Apart” is that teammate’s share in the minutes he played without Morgan, so the swing is a comparison of the same player in two situations rather than against the league. Pairs need 100 minutes together to appear at all, and a swing still carries whoever else was on the ice — it is a strong hint, not an isolated effect.
2026-27
PuckCast Player Intelligence, and the skill radar and on-ice impact behind it.
Skill radar & on-ice impact vs. NHL defensemen
33
Offense
35
Defense
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, exceptional playmaking.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
2-pt spreadBalanced two-way profile. The 2-point gap between offensive (33th) and defensive (35th) percentiles shows a well-rounded player.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, exceptional playmaking.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
2-pt spreadBalanced two-way profile. The 2-point gap between offensive (33th) and defensive (35th) percentiles shows a well-rounded player.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Morgan Rielly's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-272026-27 | TOR | 16 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -2 | 20 | — | |||
| 25-262025-26 | TOR | 78 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -18 | 141 | 7.8% | |||
| 24-252024-25 | TOR | 82 | 7 | 34 | 41 | -8 | 126 | 5.6% |
Form
Morgan's last five games played — playoff games included if his team advanced, since the NHL does not separate them here.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ VAN | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:58 |
| Oct 28 | @ SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 19:52 |
| Oct 26 | @ CGY | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:27 |
| Oct 24 | @ EDM | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:51 |
| Oct 22 | vs NYR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:58 |
Similar defensemans
Same position, comparable 2026-27 projected rate and 2026-27 shot/power-play rate. Compare Morgan to another player
Roster
Top teammates by points on the Toronto Maple Leafs this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts, where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a defenceman. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy, zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
| 23-242023-24 | TOR | 72 | 7 | 51 | 58 | +7 | 173 | 4.0% |
| 22-232022-23 | TOR | 65 | 4 | 37 | 41 | -9 | 126 | 3.2% |
| 21-222021-22 | TOR | 82 | 10 | 58 | 68 | +16 | 221 | 4.5% |
| 20-212020-21 | TOR | 55 | 5 | 30 | 35 | +11 | 101 | 5.0% |
| 19-202019-20 | TOR | 47 | 3 | 24 | 27 | +6 | 123 | 2.4% |
| 18-192018-19 | TOR | 82 | 20 | 52 | 72 | +24 | 223 | 9.0% |
| 17-182017-18 | TOR | 76 | 6 | 46 | 52 | -4 | 182 | 3.3% |
| 16-172016-17 | TOR | 76 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -20 | 171 | 3.5% |
| 15-162015-16 | TOR | 82 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -17 | 167 | 5.4% |
| 14-152014-15 | TOR | 81 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -16 | 148 | 5.4% |
| 13-142013-14 | TOR | 73 | 2 | 25 | 27 | -13 | 96 | 2.1% |
| Career | — | 967 | 98 | 462 | 560 | -43 | 2018 | 4.9% |
John Tavares
C · 7 pts
