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Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Center•#34MIXEDPPI 83Auston Matthews is a 29-year-old center for the Toronto Maple Leafs. Selected 1st overall by TOR in the 2016 NHL Draft. Born in San Ramon, USA.
This season, the left-shooting forward has 11 goals and 13 assists for 24 points in 16 games, ranking 6th in the NHL. He averages 1.50 points per game on 20:35 of ice time.
2026-27 · Regular season
#4 NHL
#15 NHL
#6 NHL
2026-27 projection
Projected September 28, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 55–108 pts
MIXED — 64th percentile at C, 62% hit rate (60 GP, 2025-26)
2026-27 · Regular season
Full statistical breakdown for the 2026-27 regular season.
League percentile
Vs. all NHL skaters, 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
2026-27 pace
Where Auston's current rate finishes the 2026-27 season.
End of season forecast, current pace
68
games remaining
Goals
58
Current: 11
Assists
68
Current: 13
Points
126
Current: 24
Elite production projected. Most likely range is 101-152 points, with upside potential exceeding 177 points in optimal scenarios.
5.7%
Art Ross
Most Points
7.9%
Rocket
Most Goals
0.8%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
5v5
What happened while Auston was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2026-27.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 16 games, 344 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
62.3 vs 57.3 lg
89th percentile
Quality of teammates
69.2 vs 56.8 lg
89th percentile
Deployment
tough-comp
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Auston takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
73
Goals vs expected
10 vs 6.9 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
42%
With-or-without-you
Who Auston plays with at 5v5, and how the shot-quality share moves when they are apart — a with-or-without-you read.
| Teammate | Together | xGF% with | xGF% apart | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack RoslovicC | 188 min | 54.2 | — | — |
| Darren RaddyshD | 114 min | 47.5 | 61.2 | -13.7 |
5v5, real shift-overlap TOI; Corsi incl blocked, xG unblocked. “Apart” is that teammate’s share in the minutes he played without Auston, so the swing is a comparison of the same player in two situations rather than against the league. Pairs need 100 minutes together to appear at all, and a swing still carries whoever else was on the ice — it is a strong hint, not an isolated effect.
2026-27
PuckCast Player Intelligence, and the skill radar and on-ice impact behind it.
Skill radar & on-ice impact vs. NHL forwards
93
Offense
61
Defense
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking, power play scoring.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
32-pt spreadThe 32-point spread between offensive (93th) and defensive (61th) percentiles is significant for a center. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking, power play scoring.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
32-pt spreadThe 32-point spread between offensive (93th) and defensive (61th) percentiles is significant for a center. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Auston Matthews's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-272026-27 | TOR | 16 | 11 | 13 | 24 | +7 | 46 | 23.9% | |||
| 25-262025-26 | TOR | 60 | 27 | 26 | 53 | -4 | 227 | 11.9% | |||
| 24-252024-25 | TOR | 67 | 33 | 45 | 78 | +11 | 261 | 12.6% |
Form
Auston's last five games played — playoff games included if his team advanced, since the NHL does not separate them here.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ VAN | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:13 |
| Oct 28 | @ SEA | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:08 |
| Oct 26 | @ CGY | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 19:00 |
| Oct 24 | @ EDM | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:13 |
| Oct 22 | vs NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 |
Similar centers
Same position, comparable 2026-27 projected rate and 2026-27 shot/power-play rate. Compare Auston to another player
Roster
Top teammates by points on the Toronto Maple Leafs this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts, where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a forward. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy, zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
| 23-242023-24 | TOR | 81 | 69 | 38 | 107 | +31 | 369 | 18.7% |
| 22-232022-23 | TOR | 74 | 40 | 45 | 85 | +31 | 327 | 12.2% |
| 21-222021-22 | TOR | 73 | 60 | 46 | 106 | +20 | 348 | 17.2% |
| 20-212020-21 | TOR | 52 | 41 | 25 | 66 | +21 | 222 | 18.5% |
| 19-202019-20 | TOR | 70 | 47 | 33 | 80 | +19 | 290 | 16.2% |
| 18-192018-19 | TOR | 68 | 37 | 36 | 73 | -9 | 251 | 14.7% |
| 17-182017-18 | TOR | 62 | 34 | 29 | 63 | +25 | 187 | 18.2% |
| 16-172016-17 | TOR | 82 | 40 | 29 | 69 | +2 | 279 | 14.3% |
| Career | — | 705 | 439 | 365 | 804 | +154 | 2807 | 15.6% |
John Tavares
C · 7 pts
