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Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Center•#29STEADYPPI 99Nathan MacKinnon is a 31-year-old center for the Colorado Avalanche. Selected 1st overall by COL in the 2013 NHL Draft. Born in Halifax, CAN.
This season, the right-shooting forward has 9 goals and 16 assists for 25 points in 15 games, ranking 5th in the NHL. He averages 1.67 points per game on 20:33 of ice time.
2026-27 · Regular season
#13 NHL
#6 NHL
#5 NHL
2026-27 projection
Projected September 28, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 80–142 pts
STEADY — 98th percentile at C, 76% hit rate (80 GP, 2025-26)
2026-27 · Regular season
Full statistical breakdown for the 2026-27 regular season.
League percentile
Vs. all NHL skaters, 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
2026-27 pace
Where Nathan's current rate finishes the 2026-27 season.
End of season forecast, current pace
68
games remaining
Goals
50
Current: 9
Assists
89
Current: 16
Points
138
Current: 25
Elite production projected. Most likely range is 110-167 points, with upside potential exceeding 196 points in optimal scenarios.
6.8%
Art Ross
Most Points
1.1%
Rocket
Most Goals
5.7%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
5v5
What happened while Nathan was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2026-27.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 15 games, 370 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
58.3 vs 57.3 lg
57th percentile
Quality of teammates
80.9 vs 56.8 lg
100th percentile
Deployment
neutral
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Nathan takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
81
Goals vs expected
9 vs 6.4 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
25%
With-or-without-you
Who Nathan plays with at 5v5, and how the shot-quality share moves when they are apart — a with-or-without-you read.
| Teammate | Together | xGF% with | xGF% apart | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artturi LehkonenL | 173 min | 51.6 | — | — |
| Martin NecasC | 161 min | 56.2 | — | — |
| Devon ToewsD | 134 min | 56.2 | — | — |
| Cale MakarD | 129 min | 55.7 | — | — |
5v5, real shift-overlap TOI; Corsi incl blocked, xG unblocked. “Apart” is that teammate’s share in the minutes he played without Nathan, so the swing is a comparison of the same player in two situations rather than against the league. Pairs need 100 minutes together to appear at all, and a swing still carries whoever else was on the ice — it is a strong hint, not an isolated effect.
2026-27
PuckCast Player Intelligence, and the skill radar and on-ice impact behind it.
Skill radar & on-ice impact vs. NHL forwards
89
Offense
70
Defense
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking, power play scoring.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
19-pt spreadLeans offensive. The 19-point spread between offensive (89th) and defensive (70th) percentiles is typical of a scoring-first center.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking, power play scoring.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
19-pt spreadLeans offensive. The 19-point spread between offensive (89th) and defensive (70th) percentiles is typical of a scoring-first center.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Nathan MacKinnon's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-272026-27 | COL | 15 | 9 | 16 | 25 | +8 | 60 | 15.0% | |||
| 25-262025-26 | COL | 80 | 53 | 74 | 127 | +57 | 350 | 15.1% | |||
| 24-252024-25 | COL | 79 | 32 | 84 | 116 | +25 | 320 | 10.0% |
Form
Nathan's last five games played — playoff games included if his team advanced, since the NHL does not separate them here.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ CHI | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:25 |
| Oct 31 | vs CGY | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 19:06 |
| Oct 28 | vs NJD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:00 |
| Oct 25 | @ NSH | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:49 |
| Oct 23 | vs TBL | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 4 | 18:10 |
Similar centers
Same position, comparable 2026-27 projected rate and 2026-27 shot/power-play rate. Compare Nathan to another player
Roster
Top teammates by points on the Colorado Avalanche this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts, where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a forward. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy, zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
| 23-242023-24 | COL | 82 | 51 | 89 | 140 | +35 | 405 | 12.6% |
| 22-232022-23 | COL | 71 | 42 | 69 | 111 | +29 | 366 | 11.5% |
| 21-222021-22 | COL | 65 | 32 | 56 | 88 | +22 | 299 | 10.7% |
| 20-212020-21 | COL | 48 | 20 | 45 | 65 | +22 | 206 | 9.7% |
| 19-202019-20 | COL | 69 | 35 | 58 | 93 | +13 | 318 | 11.0% |
| 18-192018-19 | COL | 82 | 41 | 58 | 99 | +20 | 365 | 11.2% |
| 17-182017-18 | COL | 74 | 39 | 58 | 97 | +11 | 284 | 13.7% |
| 16-172016-17 | COL | 82 | 16 | 37 | 53 | -14 | 251 | 6.4% |
| 15-162015-16 | COL | 72 | 21 | 31 | 52 | -4 | 245 | 8.6% |
| 14-152014-15 | COL | 64 | 14 | 24 | 38 | -7 | 192 | 7.3% |
| 13-142013-14 | COL | 82 | 24 | 39 | 63 | +20 | 241 | 10.0% |
| Career | — | 965 | 429 | 738 | 1167 | +237 | 3902 | 11.0% |
Brock Nelson
C · 9 pts
