PuckCast Edge
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Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Defenseman•#95BOOM/BUSTPPI 71Oliver Ekman-Larsson is a 35-year-old defenseman for the Toronto Maple Leafs. Selected 6th overall by PHX in the 2009 NHL Draft. Born in Karlskrona, SWE. A veteran presence at 35 years old.
On the blue line this season, Oliver has recorded 0 goals and 1 assists for 1 points across 16 games. He averages 0.06 points per game on 17:47 of ice time.
2026-27 · Regular season
2026-27 projection
Projected September 28, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 14–40 pts
BOOM/BUST — 0th percentile at D, 38% hit rate (78 GP, 2025-26)
2026-27 · Regular season
Full statistical breakdown for the 2026-27 regular season.
League percentile
Vs. all NHL skaters, 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
2026-27 pace
Where Oliver's current rate finishes the 2026-27 season.
End of season forecast, current pace
68
games remaining
Goals
0
Current: 0
Assists
5
Current: 1
Points
5
Current: 1
Limited offensive production projected. Expected range of 3-7 points based on current usage patterns.
0.0%
Art Ross
Most Points
0.0%
Rocket
Most Goals
0.0%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
5v5
What happened while Oliver was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2026-27.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 16 games, 323 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
55.5 vs 57.3 lg
24th percentile
Quality of teammates
54.9 vs 56.8 lg
38th percentile
Deployment
neutral
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Oliver takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
18
Goals vs expected
0 vs 0.7 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
0%
With-or-without-you
Who Oliver plays with at 5v5, and how the shot-quality share moves when they are apart — a with-or-without-you read.
| Teammate | Together | xGF% with | xGF% apart | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy StecherD | 100 min | 61.6 | 43.2 | +18.4 |
5v5, real shift-overlap TOI; Corsi incl blocked, xG unblocked. “Apart” is that teammate’s share in the minutes he played without Oliver, so the swing is a comparison of the same player in two situations rather than against the league. Pairs need 100 minutes together to appear at all, and a swing still carries whoever else was on the ice — it is a strong hint, not an isolated effect.
2026-27
PuckCast Player Intelligence, and the skill radar and on-ice impact behind it.
Skill radar & on-ice impact vs. NHL defensemen
19
Offense
30
Defense
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays a heavy penalty-kill workload. Areas for improvement: limited offensive impact.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
11-pt spreadLeans defensive. The 11-point spread between offensive (19th) and defensive (30th) percentiles is typical of a shutdown defenseman.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays a heavy penalty-kill workload. Areas for improvement: limited offensive impact.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
11-pt spreadLeans defensive. The 11-point spread between offensive (19th) and defensive (30th) percentiles is typical of a shutdown defenseman.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Oliver Ekman-Larsson's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-272026-27 | TOR | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 11 | — | |||
| 25-262025-26 | TOR | 78 | 8 | 31 | 39 | -6 | 108 | 7.4% | |||
| 24-252024-25 | TOR | 77 | 4 | 25 | 29 | +14 | 118 | 3.4% |
Form
Oliver's last five games played — playoff games included if his team advanced, since the NHL does not separate them here.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @ VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:22 |
| Oct 28 | @ SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 |
| Oct 26 | @ CGY | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 19:14 |
| Oct 24 | @ EDM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:09 |
| Oct 22 | vs NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 |
Similar defensemans
Same position, comparable 2026-27 projected rate and 2026-27 shot/power-play rate. Compare Oliver to another player
Roster
Top teammates by points on the Toronto Maple Leafs this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts, where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a defenceman. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy, zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
| 23-242023-24 | FLA | 80 | 9 | 23 | 32 | +10 | 123 | 7.3% |
| 22-232022-23 | VAN | 54 | 2 | 20 | 22 | -24 | 90 | 2.2% |
| 21-222021-22 | VAN | 79 | 5 | 24 | 29 | +5 | 168 | 3.0% |
| 20-212020-21 | ARI | 46 | 3 | 21 | 24 | -17 | 83 | 3.6% |
| 19-202019-20 | ARI | 66 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -3 | 135 | 6.7% |
| 18-192018-19 | ARI | 81 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -16 | 176 | 8.0% |
| 17-182017-18 | ARI | 82 | 14 | 28 | 42 | -28 | 202 | 6.9% |
| 16-172016-17 | ARI | 79 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -25 | 145 | 8.3% |
| 15-162015-16 | ARI | 75 | 21 | 34 | 55 | -6 | 228 | 9.2% |
| 14-152014-15 | ARI | 82 | 23 | 20 | 43 | -18 | 264 | 8.7% |
| 13-142013-14 | PHX | 80 | 15 | 29 | 44 | -4 | 199 | 7.5% |
| 12-132012-13 | PHX | 48 | 3 | 21 | 24 | +5 | 101 | 3.0% |
| 11-122011-12 | PHX | 82 | 13 | 19 | 32 | 0 | 147 | 8.8% |
| 10-112010-11 | PHX | 48 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +3 | 50 | 2.0% |
| Career | — | 1153 | 156 | 384 | 540 | -113 | 2348 | 6.6% |
Darren Raddysh
D · 9 pts
