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2025-26 statsShown until 2026-27 has enough games. Updates automatically.See 2026-27 projections →

Seth Jarvis is a 24-year-old right wing for the Carolina Hurricanes. Selected 13th overall by CAR in the 2020 NHL Draft. Born in Winnipeg, CAN.
In 2025-26, Seth has been a consistent offensive contributor with 36 goals and 41 assists for 77 points in 90 games. He averages 0.86 points per game on 19:09 of ice time.
#28 NHL
2026-27 projection
Projected September 5, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 44–93 pts
2025-26
Full statistical breakdown for the 2025-26 regular season.
League Percentiles
Among all NHL skaters this season.
Percentile rank among all NHL skaters with 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
5v5
What happened while Seth was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2025-26.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 71 games, 1,380 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
61.4 vs 54.8 lg
97th percentile
Quality of teammates
83.4 vs 53.2 lg
100th percentile
Deployment
tough-comp
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Seth takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
324
Goals vs expected
32 vs 30.6 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
32%
With-or-without-you
Who Seth plays with at 5v5, and how the shot-quality share moves when they are apart — a with-or-without-you read.
| Teammate | Together | xGF% with | xGF% apart | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian AhoC | 765 min | 56.9 | 48.8 | +8.1 |
| Andrei SvechnikovR | 614 min | 55.3 | 56.9 | -1.6 |
| Sean WalkerD | 379 min | 56.3 | 55.4 | +0.9 |
| K'Andre MillerD | 337 min | 61.3 | 52.5 | +8.8 |
| Jalen ChatfieldD | 325 min | 51.5 | 58.0 | -6.5 |
| Jaccob SlavinD | 223 min | 53.0 | 56.5 | -3.5 |
5v5, real shift-overlap TOI; Corsi incl blocked, xG unblocked. “Apart” is that teammate’s share in the minutes he played without Seth, so the swing is a comparison of the same player in two situations rather than against the league. Pairs need 100 minutes together to appear at all, and a swing still carries whoever else was on the ice — it is a strong hint, not an isolated effect.
Form
Performance in the last five games played.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:44 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGK | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:51 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:30 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGK | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 27:22 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:04 |
2025-26
Skill profile, on-ice impact metrics, and season projections.
Percentile rankings vs. NHL Forwards
95
Offense
37
Defense
66
Overall
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions vs. all NHL forwards. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, a top on-ice shot share, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking, a heavy penalty-kill workload, power play scoring.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
58-pt spreadThe 58-point spread between offensive (95th) and defensive (37th) percentiles is extreme for a winger. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, a top on-ice shot share, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking, a heavy penalty-kill workload, power play scoring.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
58-pt spreadThe 58-point spread between offensive (95th) and defensive (37th) percentiles is extreme for a winger. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Seth Jarvis's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25-262025-26 | CAR | 71 | 32 | 34 | 66 | +6 | 224 | 14.3% | |||
| 24-252024-25 | CAR | 73 | 32 | 35 | 67 | +12 | 204 | 15.7% | |||
| 23-242023-24 | CAR | 81 | 33 | 34 | 67 | +23 | 176 | 18.8% |
Roster
Top teammates by points on the Carolina Hurricanes this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts — where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a forward. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy — zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
End of season statistical forecast
0
games remaining
Goals
36
Current: 36
Assists
41
Current: 41
Points
77
Current: 77
Solid middle-six production projected. Range of 77-84 points most likely, with breakout potential toward 90.
0.0%
Art Ross
Most Points
0.0%
Rocket
Most Goals
0.0%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
| 22-232022-23 | CAR | 82 | 14 | 25 | 39 | +10 | 187 | 7.5% |
| 21-222021-22 | CAR | 68 | 17 | 23 | 40 | +11 | 110 | 15.5% |
| Career | — | 375 | 128 | 151 | 279 | +62 | 901 | 14.2% |
D · 62 pts