PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Thu, Oct 1, 10:00 PM ET
Kevin Lankinen · 0.875 SV%
The preseason ratings make Edmonton Oilers 57.4% to win on the road: a modest lean, worth 7.4 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project EDM for 97 points and VAN for 80.
The model leaned Edmonton Oilers at 57.4%.
PuckCast had Edmonton Oilers at 57.4% to win this game on Thu, Oct 1. The matchup detail follows.
EDM controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.0% of the expected goals to 43.2%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Tristan Jarry (EDM) saved -23.1 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.882 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Edmonton Oilers over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
| EDM | Metric | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 43.2% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor McDavid | C | 40 | 87 | 127 |
 Leon Draisaitl | C | 37 | 58 | 95 |
 Evan Bouchard | D | 17 | 59 | 76 |
 Matt Savoie | C | 16 | 20 | 36 |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elias Pettersson | C | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | VAN @ EDM | EDM | VAN 1–6 EDM | Correct |
| 2026-01-17 | EDM @ VAN | EDM | EDM 6–0 VAN | Correct |
| 2025-10-26 | EDM @ VAN | EDM | EDM 3–4 VAN | Missed |
| 2025-10-11 | VAN @ EDM | EDM | VAN 1–3 EDM | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Brock Boeser | R | 25 | 29 | 53 |
|---|
 Marco Rossi | C | 18 | 28 | 46 |
|---|
 Filip Hronek | D | 7 | 36 | 43 |
|---|
VAN@
CAR
