PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Thu, Oct 8, 7:00 PM ET
Jeremy Swayman · 0.908 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 55.5% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 5.5 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and UTA for 99.
The model leaned Boston Bruins at 55.5%.
PuckCast had Boston Bruins at 55.5% to win this game on Thu, Oct 8. The matchup detail follows.
UTA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 52.6% of the expected goals to 47.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Karel Vejmelka's -22.7, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.897.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over Utah Mammoth is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
UTA
Karel Vejmelka
64 games, 2025-26
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
| UTA | Metric | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 52.6% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.6% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Utah Mammoth
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 27 | 53 | 80 | |
| R | 33 | 33 | 66 | |
| C | 29 | 33 | 61 | |
| C | 22 | 37 | 59 |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35 | 57 | 92 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | UTA @ BOS | UTA | UTA 1–4 BOS | Missed |
| 2025-10-19 | BOS @ UTA | UTA | BOS 2–3 UTA | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 99 | 60.8% |
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 25 | 28 | 53 |
| C | 27 | 23 | 50 |
| D | 10 | 38 | 48 |