Who is favoured, Ottawa Senators or Boston Bruins?

Boston Bruins, at 53.7% in PuckCast's preseason forecast. That is a rating-based forecast; the full model read, with goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of puck drop.

What is a preseason forecast?

A win probability from each team's regressed preseason rating and home ice, the same ratings behind the 2026-27 projected standings. Those ratings are calibrated at the season level, for standings and playoff odds; this single-game percentage is a plain rating formula and has not been graded on its own yet. It is deliberately unsure about any single game, and the confidence grade says how far it leans.

When does the real prediction publish?

Inside the seven-day window before the game. The model re-scores it on every refresh until puck drop, with the confirmed starting goalies, and this page shows that read instead of the forecast.

Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins, Mon, Oct 5: prediction and odds forecast

PuckCast Edge

Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.

Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.

Get the Edge See the slate

2026-27 forecast · Mon, Oct 5, 7:30 PM ET

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

100 proj. pts · 58.0% playoffs

Linus Ullmark · 0.891 SV%

Cvs7:30 PM ET

Boston BruinsBOS

99 proj. pts · 54.2% playoffs

A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works

The read

Preseason ratings · last season’s record

OTT controlled play at 5v5 last season, 55.4% of the expected goals to 47.6%; BOS's power play ran at 22.7% against a OTT kill at 76.4%.

In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Linus Ullmark's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.891.

None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over Ottawa Senators is where it starts, not where it ends.

In goal

goalie board

No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.

OTT

Linus Ullmark

SV%: 0.891
GSAx: -23.2
GAA: 2.73
Record: 28-12-8

49 games, 2025-26

BOS

Jeremy Swayman

SV%: 0.908
GSAx: -4.6
GAA: 2.71
Record: 31-18-4

55 games, 2025-26

OTT	Metric	BOS
55.4%	xGF% (5v5)	47.6%
53.7%	Shot share	47.4%
3.3	Goals for / game	3.2
3.0	Goals against / game	3.0
22.5%	Power play	22.7%
76.4%	Penalty kill	78.5%
54.7%	Faceoffs	53.3%

Who drives it

2026-27 projected points

Ottawa Senators

Player	Pos	G	A	Pts
Tim Stützle	C	32	57	90
Drake Batherson	R	26	37	63
William Eklund	L	17	40	57
Jake Sanderson	D	12	42	54

Boston Bruins

Player	Pos	G	A	Pts
David Pastrnak	R	35	57	92

Last season, head to head

ledger

Date	Game	Pick	Score	Result
2025-12-21	OTT @ BOS	OTT	OTT 6–2 BOS	Correct
2025-11-13	BOS @ OTT	OTT	BOS 3–5 OTT	Correct
2025-11-06	OTT @ BOS	OTT	OTT 2–3 BOS	Missed
2025-10-27	BOS @ OTT	OTT	BOS 2–7 OTT	Correct

Season outlook

projected standings

Team	Proj. points	Playoff odds
Ottawa Senators	100	58.0%
Boston Bruins	99	54.2%