PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Fri, Oct 9, 7:00 PM ET
Logan Thompson · 0.912 SV%
The preseason ratings make Washington Capitals 59.4% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 9.4 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project WSH for 98 points and NYR for 91.
The model leaned Washington Capitals at 59.4%.
PuckCast had Washington Capitals at 59.4% to win this game on Fri, Oct 9. The matchup detail follows.
WSH controlled play at 5v5 last season, 49.9% of the expected goals to 48.0%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Logan Thompson (WSH) saved 2.8 goals above expected to Igor Shesterkin's 2.2, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.912.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Washington Capitals over New York Rangers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
WSH
Logan Thompson
58 games, 2025-26
| NYR | Metric | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 49.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Fox | D | 11 | 51 | 61 |
 Mika Zibanejad | C | 24 | 37 | 61 |
 J.T. Miller | C | 19 | 37 | 56 |
 Pavel Dorofeyev | R | 32 | 22 | 54 |
Washington Capitals
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alex Ovechkin | L | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | WSH @ NYR | WSH | WSH 1–8 NYR | Missed |
| 2025-12-31 | NYR @ WSH | WSH | NYR 3–6 WSH | Correct |
| 2025-12-23 | NYR @ WSH | WSH | NYR 7–3 WSH | Missed |
| 2025-10-12 | WSH @ NYR | WSH | WSH 1–0 NYR | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
| Washington Capitals | 98 | 51.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Dylan Strome | C | 21 | 39 | 60 |
|---|
 Alex Tuch | R | 26 | 30 | 57 |
|---|
 Jordan Kyrou | R | 25 | 32 | 56 |
|---|
MTL@
WSH
