PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET
Igor Shesterkin · 0.912 SV%
The preseason ratings make Ottawa Senators 61.3% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 11.3 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project OTT for 100 points and NYR for 91.
The model leaned Ottawa Senators at 61.3%.
PuckCast had Ottawa Senators at 61.3% to win this game on Sat, Oct 24. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (51.3% to 51.1%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to Linus Ullmark's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.891.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Ottawa Senators over New York Rangers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
OTT
Linus Ullmark
49 games, 2025-26
| NYR | Metric | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.3% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Fox | D | 11 | 51 | 61 |
 Mika Zibanejad | C | 24 | 37 | 61 |
 J.T. Miller | C | 19 | 37 | 56 |
 Pavel Dorofeyev | R | 32 | 22 | 54 |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tim Stützle | C | 32 | 57 | 90 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
| Ottawa Senators | 100 | 58.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: OTT 4, NYR 5
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | OTT @ NYR | OTT 2, NYR 1 | OTT hit |
| 2026-01-14 | OTT @ NYR | OTT 8, NYR 4 | NYR missed |
| 2025-12-04 | NYR @ OTT | NYR 4, OTT 2 | OTT missed |
| 2025-03-08 | NYR @ OTT | NYR 3, OTT 4 | OTT hit |
| 2025-01-21 | OTT @ NYR | OTT 0, NYR 5 | NYR hit |
| 2024-11-01 | OTT @ NYR | OTT 1, NYR 2 | NYR hit |
| 2024-04-15 | OTT @ NYR | OTT 0, NYR 4 | NYR hit |
| 2024-01-27 | NYR @ OTT | NYR 7, OTT 2 | NYR hit |
 Drake Batherson | R | 26 | 37 | 63 |
|---|
 Jake Sanderson | D | 12 | 42 | 54 |
|---|
 Claude Giroux | R | 16 | 37 | 53 |
|---|
OTT@
SJS
