Dallas Stars at Philadelphia Flyers

at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (51.3% to 51.2%); PHI's power play ran at 14.8% against a DAL kill at 80.7%.

In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dan Vladar (PHI) saved -5.5 goals above expected to Jake Oettinger's -14.5, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.899.

None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Philadelphia Flyers over Dallas Stars is where it starts, not where it ends.

No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.

DAL

Jake Oettinger

SV%

0.899

GSAx

-14.5

GAA

2.59

Record

35-12-6

54 games, 2025-26

PHI

Dan Vladar

SV%

0.906

GSAx

-5.5

GAA

2.42

Record

29-14-7

52 games, 2025-26