PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Fri, Oct 2, 8:00 PM ET
Stuart Skinner · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make Boston Bruins 52.3% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 2.3 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project BOS for 99 points and WPG for 89.
The model leaned Boston Bruins at 52.3%.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (47.6% to 47.7%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jeremy Swayman (BOS) saved -4.6 goals above expected to Stuart Skinner's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.908 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Boston Bruins over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
BOS
Jeremy Swayman
55 games, 2025-26
WPG
Stuart Skinner
50 games, 2025-26
| BOS | Metric | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| 47.6% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.7% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35 | 57 | 92 | |
| R | 25 | 28 | 53 | |
| C | 27 | 23 | 50 | |
| D | 10 | 38 | 48 |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 36 | 46 | 82 |
Comes in from Tue, Sep 29 · NYR @ BOS
Season opener: no previous game, no rest edge either way.
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | WPG @ BOS | BOS | WPG 1–6 BOS | Correct |
| 2025-12-11 | BOS @ WPG | WPG | BOS 6–3 WPG | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 99 | 54.2% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| C | 26 | 31 | 57 |
| D | 11 | 37 | 48 |