PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
John Gibson · 0.901 SV%
The preseason ratings make Detroit Red Wings 57.7% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 7.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project DET for 92 points and WPG for 89.
The model leaned Detroit Red Wings at 57.7%.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (48.4% to 47.7%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season John Gibson (DET) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Stuart Skinner's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.901 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Detroit Red Wings over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
WPG
Stuart Skinner
50 games, 2025-26
DET
John Gibson
57 games, 2025-26
| WPG | Metric | DET |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.4% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kyle Connor | L | 36 | 46 | 82 |
 Mark Scheifele | C | 28 | 45 | 73 |
 Gabriel Vilardi | C | 26 | 31 | 57 |
 Josh Morrissey | D | 11 | 37 | 48 |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lucas Raymond | L | 29 | 52 | 81 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | DET @ WPG | WPG | DET 5–1 WPG | Missed |
| 2025-12-31 | WPG @ DET | WPG | WPG 1–2 DET | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 92 | 38.1% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Alex DeBrincat | R | 35 | 39 | 74 |
|---|
 Dylan Larkin | C | 28 | 35 | 63 |
|---|
 Moritz Seider | D | 9 | 43 | 52 |
|---|
DET@
MTL
