PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Fri, Oct 2, 6:30 PM ET
John Gibson · 0.901 SV%
The preseason ratings make Detroit Red Wings 55.5% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 5.5 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project DET for 92 points and NYR for 91.
The model leaned Detroit Red Wings at 55.5%.
PuckCast had Detroit Red Wings at 55.5% to win this game on Fri, Oct 2. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (48.4% to 48.0%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to John Gibson's -12.5, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.901.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Detroit Red Wings over New York Rangers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
DET
John Gibson
57 games, 2025-26
| NYR | Metric | DET |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.4% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Fox | D | 11 | 51 | 61 |
 Mika Zibanejad | C | 24 | 37 | 61 |
 J.T. Miller | C | 19 | 37 | 56 |
 Pavel Dorofeyev | R | 32 | 22 | 54 |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lucas Raymond | L | 29 | 52 | 81 |
New York RangersComes in from Thu, Oct 1 · TBL @ NYR
Detroit Red WingsSeason opener: no previous game, no rest edge either way.
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | DET @ NYR | DET | DET 1–4 NYR | Missed |
| 2025-11-16 | DET @ NYR | DET | DET 2–1 NYR | Correct |
| 2025-11-07 | NYR @ DET | DET | NYR 4–1 DET | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 92 | 38.1% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Alex DeBrincat | R | 35 | 39 | 74 |
|---|
 Dylan Larkin | C | 28 | 35 | 63 |
|---|
 Moritz Seider | D | 9 | 43 | 52 |
|---|
