PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET
Sergei Bobrovsky · 0.877 SV%
The preseason ratings make Vancouver Canucks 50.4% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 0.4 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project VAN for 80 points and TOR for 85.
The model leaned Vancouver Canucks at 50.4%.
PuckCast had Vancouver Canucks at 50.4% to win this game on Sat, Oct 31. The matchup detail follows.
TOR controlled play at 5v5 last season, 47.3% of the expected goals to 38.4%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Sergei Bobrovsky (TOR) saved -41.5 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.877 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Vancouver Canucks over Toronto Maple Leafs is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky
52 games, 2025-26
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
| TOR | Metric | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 47.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 38.4% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 40 | 39 | 79 | |
| R | 31 | 43 | 74 | |
| D | 13 | 34 | 47 | |
| D | 7 | 29 | 36 |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 85 | 22.9% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: VAN 3, TOR 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | TOR @ VAN | TOR 4, VAN 2 | TOR hit |
| 2026-01-10 | VAN @ TOR | VAN 0, TOR 5 | TOR hit |
| 2025-02-08 | TOR @ VAN | TOR 1, VAN 2 | TOR missed |
| 2025-01-11 | VAN @ TOR | VAN 3, TOR 0 | TOR missed |
| 2024-01-20 | TOR @ VAN | TOR 4, VAN 6 | VAN hit |
| 2023-11-11 | VAN @ TOR | VAN 2, TOR 5 | VAN missed |
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |