PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Wed, Oct 14, 8:30 PM ET
Mackenzie Blackwood · 0.904 SV%
The preseason ratings make Colorado Avalanche 57.9% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 7.9 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project COL for 107 points and DAL for 103.
The model leaned Colorado Avalanche at 57.9%.
PuckCast had Colorado Avalanche at 57.9% to win this game on Wed, Oct 14. The matchup detail follows.
COL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.6% of the expected goals to 51.2%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) saved -6.0 goals above expected to Jake Oettinger's -14.5, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.899.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Colorado Avalanche over Dallas Stars is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
DAL
Jake Oettinger
54 games, 2025-26
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood
39 games, 2025-26
| DAL | Metric | COL |
|---|---|---|
| 51.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 57.6% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Robertson | L | 37 | 49 | 86 |
 Mikko Rantanen | R | 30 | 55 | 85 |
 Wyatt Johnston | C | 42 | 42 | 84 |
 Roope Hintz | C | 22 | 32 | 54 |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nathan MacKinnon | C | 38 | 70 | 108 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | COL @ DAL | COL | COL 2–0 DAL | Correct |
| 2026-03-18 | DAL @ COL | COL | DAL 2–1 COL | Missed |
| 2026-03-06 | COL @ DAL | DAL | COL 6–4 DAL | Missed |
| 2025-10-11 | DAL @ COL | DAL | DAL 6–5 COL | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Stars | 103 | 70.4% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 107 | 78.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Cale Makar | D | 23 | 60 | 84 |
|---|
 Martin Necas | C | 29 | 51 | 80 |
|---|
 Nazem Kadri | C | 18 | 27 | 45 |
|---|
COL@
NJD
