PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2025-26 stats Shown until 2026-27 has enough games. Updates automatically. See 2026-27 projection →
Atlantic Division · Eastern Conference
59.3%
51 of 86 correct
Rank 10 of 32 across the league. Treat picks as you would any average team. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
+0.0
Special teams edge
PP 0.2% · PK 0.8%
0.5%
Faceoff win rate
+0.60
Luck score (PDO 101.6)
Running hot — regression risk
33.4
Hits + blocks / game
21.0 hits · 12.4 blocks
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
90
Offense
94
Defense
87
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Tampa Bay Lightning profile as a balanced, two-way team that can beat you multiple ways. They don't need overtime — most of their wins come in regulation, a sign of genuine dominance. Losing more than they're winning lately. Concerning trajectory.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Clear strengths in goal diff, defense, reg wins — all above the 65th percentile. Blocks (10th) is the one clear weakness opponents can exploit.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
3.54 GPG
2.82 GA/G
+59
64.6%
40 RW in 82 GP
5-5-0
26-14-1
24-12-5
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 53.3 | 52.4 | 54.1 | 175.7 | 149.2 | 195 | 152 | 101.9 |
| Power play | 87.4 | 86.1 | 90.6 | 48.1 | 5.0 | 45 | 4 | 108.0 |
| Penalty kill | 12.4 | 12.8 | 9.8 | 5.2 | 48.0 | 5 | 41 | 95.5 |
| All strengths | 52.7 | 52.1 | 53.5 | 256.0 | 222.4 | 295 | 235 | 102.0 |
82 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10 — it regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals — no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
72
Overall Quality
58% Full Strength
84
Top Line
89
Top Pair
85
Starter
Standings · 2025-26 Final
2026-27 hasn't started — showing the 2025-26 final order, with 2026-27 projected points alongside.
